Learning a bit of bayesian modeling in school, and I was initially a bit confused on the reasoning for applying priors & bayesian thinking to player ratings but after reading it makes a lot of sense. This is brilliant.
Zach Edey appears in the all time list TWICE. I guess a lot of the top guys go straight to the NBA, but not a single one of the other guys turned in two Top 30 BPR performances?
So is it best all-time SEASONS/PEFORMANCES, then, and not best PLAYERS? Zach Edey is only one player.
1. The output of every model is not just a point estimate (single value), it's actually a probability distribution. So you can know not just the best guess at a player's value, but all the possible "true" values. All bayesian models also require prior distributions for each coefficient as well, which I mention in the article
2. The computation itself has to be done through some bayesian computation method. That's a bit more of a complicated subject, but if you do some googling you can learn more about that.
Learning a bit of bayesian modeling in school, and I was initially a bit confused on the reasoning for applying priors & bayesian thinking to player ratings but after reading it makes a lot of sense. This is brilliant.
Thank you so much!
Zach Edey appears in the all time list TWICE. I guess a lot of the top guys go straight to the NBA, but not a single one of the other guys turned in two Top 30 BPR performances?
So is it best all-time SEASONS/PEFORMANCES, then, and not best PLAYERS? Zach Edey is only one player.
I'm pretty sure.
What makes this model Bayesian?
This means two things:
1. The output of every model is not just a point estimate (single value), it's actually a probability distribution. So you can know not just the best guess at a player's value, but all the possible "true" values. All bayesian models also require prior distributions for each coefficient as well, which I mention in the article
2. The computation itself has to be done through some bayesian computation method. That's a bit more of a complicated subject, but if you do some googling you can learn more about that.