I must be misunderstanding something about the methodology. How does Duke have a ceiling of 1 and a floor of 15 (the second-smallest range in the country, at quick glance) yet not make the "Teams With The Least Uncertainty" table at the top?
The uncertainty list isn't linked to the actual rankings as much as it is the efficiency rating number range underneath. Naturally, teams at the very top of the sport will have a smaller difference between their ceiling and floor rankings, purely due to the fact that there's less congestion at the top.
I must be misunderstanding something about the methodology. How does Duke have a ceiling of 1 and a floor of 15 (the second-smallest range in the country, at quick glance) yet not make the "Teams With The Least Uncertainty" table at the top?
The uncertainty list isn't linked to the actual rankings as much as it is the efficiency rating number range underneath. Naturally, teams at the very top of the sport will have a smaller difference between their ceiling and floor rankings, purely due to the fact that there's less congestion at the top.